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Tyler’s DFS Tips – NFL Week 7 by Tyler Arthur


My Tips This Week

Quarter Back

Pic Credit: menshealth.com

Been better, been worse!

Gardner Minshew

Surprising consistency, price actually went down.  

A fantasy sweetheart since the start of his rookie season, Gardner Minshew has actually proven himself to be a genuinely consistent fantasy QB, and his price has actually gone down this week to just $5,900 against the Los Angeles Chargers, whose defense is still suffering from absences and has given up plenty of fantasy points to the position through the first six weeks of the season. This reputation of a sneaky pick with a good floor is going to turn into a much more respected fantasy QB eventually, but until then I’m rolling him out at these great prices each week.  


Pic credit: clutchpoints.com

Awesome Tip!

Tom Brady

Great matchup, late addition to the slate.  

After some schedule fixing shenanigans, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers trip to face the Las Vegas Raiders has shifted onto the main DFS slate, and I’m taking advantage. The Raiders are off the back of their huge upset victory over the Kansas City Chiefs, but this week, after their bye they have been hit with Covid-19 and they will not have their starting safety or their starting right tackle. Not to mention many of their key players haven’t been training this week. Tom Brady hasn’t been delivering for fantasy in the last two weeks but I think that this matchup turns him back onto the fantasy scoring he showed himself capable of in some big games earlier in the year. He costs $6,600 but he has as much upside as ever in this matchup and he is a good option with the updated slate.  


Running Back

Image Credit: USA Today

Awesome Tip!

Alvin Kamara

Great involvement, big game last week, great matchup.  

After a mediocre start to the season, the Detroit Lions’ rookie running back D’Andre Swift flashed last week with his first high volume game, with 14 rush attempts and 4 targets. These opportunities were paid off in a big way with 30.3 fantasy points against the Jaguars. This week, with a bit of a price boost, he has a matchup on the road in Atlanta and a chance to repeat on his breakout performance. If he is given the type of workload he got last week he will be putting up another big game in this plus matchup with the Falcons, at a very affordable price of just $5,400 


Pic credit: Leon Halip/Getty Images

Good Tip!

D’Andre Swift

Great involvement, big game last week, great matchup.  

After a mediocre start to the season, the Detroit Lions’ rookie running back D’Andre Swift flashed last week with his first high volume game, with 14 rush attempts and 4 targets. These opportunities were paid off in a big way with 30.3 fantasy points against the Jaguars. This week, with a bit of a price boost, he has a matchup on the road in Atlanta and a chance to repeat on his breakout performance. If he is given the type of workload he got last week he will be putting up another big game in this plus matchup with the Falcons, at a very affordable price of just $5,400 


Pic credit: espn.co.uk

Not such a great choice…

BONUS PICK: Justin Jackson

The guy when Ekeler is out.  

The idea of Austin Ekeler being out is terrifying to many fantasy owners, but naturally with every RB injury there has to be an injection of new fantasy relevance. People expected Joshua Kelley to be a huge fantasy asset – and I didn’t disagree with this, but I wanted to see it happen. Last week we got to watch the Ekeler-less Chargers backfield play out and it actually turned out to be Justin Jackson who had the better week, with 14.4 points, and now he’s here again at $4,900.  


Pic credit: clutchpoints.com

Awesome Tip!

BONUS BONUS PICK: Giovani Bernard

Please don’t be a trap game.  

Speaking of injected fantasy relevance… There’s not much that needs to be said here, Joe Mixon officially isn’t playing this weekend, and so Giovani Bernard is going to be thrust into a significantly increased role (last week he even started to see a bigger involvement due to Mixon getting banged up), and he has a chance to provide very good value at his price tag of just $4,500. The matchup against Cleveland isn’t really a big impact either way, for me, but it could be much worse, and if he gets 20 touches I want in on that action. Great value play with genuine upside if he can score. I expect him to get involved in both the running game and the passing game, and the PPR format makes that incredibly helpful for us here. 


Wide Receiver

Pic Credit: clutchpoints.com

Awesome Tip!

Terry McLaurin

Great talent, good matchup.  

One of those players who just plays well no matter what is going around him, Terry McLaurin is somehow able to be shrug off the poor quarterback play and deliver fantasy points week in and week out. Thanks to his disappointing week against the Rams in Week 5, Scary Terry’s price has dipped and is down at $5,800 despite an amazing matchup with the Cowboys defense. This is McLaurin’s best matchup all season so far, and I’m expecting his high volume to continue, with hopefully even better results due to the Dallas secondary’s shortcomings. 


Pic Credit: clutchpoints.com

What was I thinking…

Mike Williams

Still cheap, now we know he is healthy.  

After missing time with a hamstring injury, Mike Williams returned with an explosive 30.9-point week in Week 5. The Chargers bye week just further cements his health, and now I’m backing him to get involved again in a big way in the matchup with Jacksonville, after 8 targets in his return against the Saints. Williams is a big play waiting to happen, averaging 17.4 yards per reception on the season, and he should be able to beat up this defense. Oh, and he’s only $4,700. Great value with big upside. 


Pic: USA Today

Been better, been worse!

Kenny Golladay

Phenomenal player, awful opposition defense.  

With Kenny Golladay returning to the field after missing the first two weeks of the season was a huge relief to fantasy football owners all over, and he hasn’t disappointed since then, with remarkable consistency, with three games played so far and all of them being within the spread of between 16 and 18 fantasy points. This week I expect that consistency to mark a reliable floor, but his ceiling is higher due to a date with the Atlanta Falcons. At $6,700 I am liking the matchup enough to pay that little bit extra, and I think the upside beyond his consistency will make this a popular play, but for good reason.  


Tight End

Pic credit: clutchpoints.com

What was I thinking…

Noah Fant

Returning into a decent matchup.  

After being banged up for the last couple of weeks with an ankle injury, Noah Fant is back in the Broncos lineup and has been practicing in full ahead of a big week, hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs bounced back after their disappointing loss to their division rival Raiders, and now Denver are going to look to replicate this upset. Kansas City’s defense isn’t particularly good against tight ends, and the game script of facing this high-powered offense always involves more passing than the average matchup, which is nothing but good news for the athletic tight end. At $4,800, Fant has been granted a discount this week despite his health and matchup putting him in a great spot, so I like the value here.  


Pic Credit: Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Not such a great choice…

Hunter Henry

Decent volume, good matchup.  

Keenan Allen’s likelihood of playing this week is a bit up in the air, but that is more of a potential bonus to the other fantasy assets around him, not a dealbreaker. Hunter Henry is one of the more involved tight ends in the league, and Justin Herbert has looked good enough that I’m looking at this offense closely each week. This matchup with the Jaguars is a good one, and I think that of all of their fantasy assets, Henry might be the one who is most overlooked. At $4,500 it seems like Draft Kings did just that, and we can cash in on that value.  


Defence

Pic credit: clutchpoints.com

Awesome Tip!

Washington Football Team 

There is a pretty awkward slate here for defenses, and none really stand out to me in the lower price range, and the ones that have nice matchups are kind of uninspiring. For that reason, I’m opting for a surprisingly solid Washington D again this week. They’ve flashed genuinely good pass rushing, and they are facing the Andy Dalton-led Cowboys, who aren’t looking good, and at just $2,500 I like the saving that is baked in. If they can get to Dalton the sacks can lead to him rushing and maybe they force a couple of turnovers as a bonus.  


Honourable Mentions

Honourable Mentions

Aaron Rodgers @ Houston – QB – $7,000 

Ronald Jones @ Las Vegas – RB – $6,200 

Todd Gurley vs Detroit – RB – $6,000 

AJ Brown vs Pittsburgh – WR – $6,300 

Tyreek Hill @ Denver – WR – $6,400 

David Njoku @ Cincinnati – TE – $3,000 


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