Tyler’s DFS Tips – NFL Week 6 by Tyler Arthur
My Tips This Week
Underrated QB, great matchup.
This game should be a shootout, and I can’t wait to see who comes out on top. Both sides have bad defenses with very pass-heavy offenses, which is what you want. Matt Ryan is my preference of the two QB’s in the game but this Atlanta vs Arizona matchup is great on both sides. Ryan has thrown over 300 yards literally every week this season, and has thrown 3 TD’s three times in the last four weeks, I can’t see any reason why you ever wouldn’t want Ryan in a shootout. At $6,400 he’s actually 100 less than his opponent Kyler Murray, and I like him more due to the fact you can rely on him to be slinging it 30+ times as long as the Cardinals perform as they can.
Shootouts are great, and so are the QB’s.
This game is going to be very popular for fantasy owners, and of the two QB’s it’s pretty likely that Deshaun Watson will be the more commonly owned of the two, not only because he’s cheaper at $6,900, he also had a significantly better game than his opponent, Pat Mahomes, last week. Watson’s 44.74 DK fantasy points were absolutely huge, bouncing back after an awful Week 4 showing worth just 12.6. Last week Watson threw the ball the exact same amount of times he did in the previous game, so it isn’t just volume that matters, he was on fire, though and tore apart the Falcons D. The Chiefs are better equipped on the back end than Atlanta are but this should be another shootout with huge fantasy potential.
Great matchup, lots of volume.
Chris Carson had a rough start to the season, but now he has cut out the fumbling and is looking frankly awesome. This week he is playing against the Browns who gave up an absolute clinic from the San Francisco running backs last time out. At just $6,000 the value here can’t be ignored, especially as he is coming off the back of two consecutive 20+ point weeks. Whether you’re stacking multiple expensive RB’s or want to spend down and make Carson your RB1, he’s a great play this week.
Darnold is back, so is Bell’s floor and ceiling.
The New York Jets aren’t that good of a football team, but they have a running back that is as synonymous with fantasy football as anyone in the league. Le’Veon Bell is one of the true workhorse volume running backs and his floor is brought up even higher with the better quarterback play, while his ceiling is as high as the team’s is. With between 22 and 30 touches a game, a player as talented as Bell is destined for fantasy points, and in this matchup against Dallas, his touches will tilt slightly more towards the receiving variation. He could put up some rushing yards if the Cowboys opt to stack the box less with Sam Darnold back, and the TD threat is always there, when they get to the red zone. At $6,400 you can afford to have Bell as your RB1 even if you want to spend the majority of your money elsewhere, and eh has a solid floor, with upside if the Jets bounce back with their franchise QB returning.
Who? The guy who put up 25 fantasy points the other night and who will continue to fill in for Sammy Watkins if he’s missing (which is most likely). If Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins don’t play, there is no way I’m making a single lineup without Byron Pringle in it. At $3,500, he is categorically the must-start of the slate if those two are absent. The upside is absolutely ridiculous for a player costing less than some people will pay for their defense. Pringle is a great play this week, you just have to make sure you check if Watkins and Hill are playing, if not – get ready to spend up on some pretty crazy lineups splashing out on other players.
Saving elsewhere, let’s spend up.
The Atlanta Falcons might not be winning many games, and their best player has put up two bad weeks in a row, but his price has actually gone up… That sounds bad, doesn’t it? Well if that means that other people are going to steer clear, I’ll slide in and pick up Julio Jones. At $8,000 it looks like Draft Kings are trying to scare people off him, but I’m loving the matchup. Julio is traveling to Arizona this week to face a porous defense, hopefully to have his bounce–back game. He had two massive games back to back, then two bad games back to back, and now it’s time to return to that 30+ fantasy point range again. I absolutely love the Matt Ryan / Julio Jones stack this week, and I think that the expensive price is worth it.
I think that it’s very interesting that Cooper Kupp is only $7,100. He is actually averaging more fantasy points than every single other wide receiver on the slate, with 25.6 DK fantasy points per game. I think that it is easy enough to afford Kupp as long as you have someone like Pringle or Coleman in your lineups, and a player who’s had a three week stretch of 36.1, 29.9 and 29.7 fantasy points is too good to miss. The 49ers defense is good enough that they will keep Gurley in check, and there is a chance that Brandin Cooks may miss out which gives him an even higher floor. I love Kupp literally every week, but I’m worrying the price is going to continue to go up, so I’m starting him this week with confidence.
Cheapest he’ll be all year.
Fresh off the bye week, George Kittle is returning with the lowest price he’s had on DK all season. He isn’t any worse, they just don’t seem to like his matchup against the Rams. I don’t think that the defense will do a whole lot, the only thing that actually scares me is if Kittle needs to stay in and block more in the absence of Kyle Juszczyk, but that won’t stop him being a major part of their offense. The $5,200 price tag is a full $1,800 below the #1 TE on the week in Travis Kelce, and I think that both have the ability to be the best at the position when the week is over. I would rather save my money and go with Kittle, then spend up elsewhere.
Incredible matchup, surprisingly awesome player.
There has already been an abundance of surprises this year in fantasy, but very few that are more exciting than Austin Hooper, a player who has elevated from a solid upside player who would get a TD here and there to a locked-in top five tight end. At $5,000 he’s cheaper than Kittle, and will also be less popular, but there’s a reason I love him this week in particular – he’s against the Cardinals. If you read this article every week (first off, I love you) there will be a lightbulb going off every single week when you’re picking your TE – just check who’s got Arizona this week. Hooper is averaging 17.5 fantasy points per game, and now he’s facing the absolutely atrocious Cardinals D, who literally bleed points to the position. I’m sold.
The winners of the Tua Bowl.
This game is gonna suck. But that’s what makes it amazing. Two teams who both want to lose, battling it out for the future of their franchise. I think the Redskins have a better defense, so I’m going with them, and hoping that their offense does enough to sneakily force the Dolphins to throw the ball so the NFL can’t tell they’re tanking. When they throw it, the guy doing so is Josh Rosen, and I’m hoping they can grab a couple of interceptions and maybe even a pick-six. At $3,200 they’re as expensive as I’m willing to go this week. I’m honestly considering going with the Jets and just saving my money, because no teams really strongly stand out to me on this slate.
QB – Kirk Cousins vs Philadelphia – $5,200
RB – Tevin Coleman @ LA Rams – $4,400
RB – Adrian Peterson @ Miami – $4,500
WR – Larry Fitzgerald vs Atlanta – $6,100
WR – DeAndre Hopkins @ Kansas City – $7,400
TE – Gerald Everett vs San Francisco – $3,600