Tyler’s DFS Tips – NFL Week 2 by Tyler Arthur
My Tips This Week
Great last week, even better matchup.
After an absolutely phenomenal week for Aaron Rodgers to start the season, putting up 33.7 points on the road in Minnesota. Now, he gets to take on the Detroit Lions on his own home turf. The Lions defense isn’t the best but on top of that they have multiple injuries to their defensive backs, so this is a great opportunity for Rodgers to keep it up on his revenge tour and show the bosses at Green Bay that he’s not going anywhere. At $6,900 he is expensive, but if you want to pay up a little bit this is the guy I’d go for ARod at this spot, instead of paying up to the absolutely maximum price range for Lamar or Mahomes. Also, Rodgers is ideal for a stack, especially if you can correctly predict who out of Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Alan Lazard who is going to score the most points.
Incredible price. Very high floor, even higher ceiling.
After how last week went, I was not expecting to see Kyler Murray at an affordable price, with the Cardinals signal-caller showing off his fantasy-friendliness by putting up 27.3 fantasy points, of which 15.1 were earned on the ground. He is only $6,100 this week – literally cheaper than when he travelled to face the 49ers defense in week one? – and he is hosting the Washington Football Team this time out. While it is less likely to be a game script that forces Murray to throw the ball a lot, he will be super involved either way due to his versatility and running prowess. You won’t find a better quarterback for cheaper on this slate, and probably not all season. Also, the stack with DeAndre Hopkins is not only probably the best stack in the slate, it is that bit more affordable due to the matchup.
Great price, nice matchup, bounce back game.
Last week was absolutely terrible for the Philadelphia Eagles, losing to the Washington Football team and just straight up failing to do literally anything good. This awful performance was largely impacted by the late ruling out of Miles Sanders, the team’s featured back, an incredibly versatile and talented young running back. He’s back now and he has been practicing all week, so I have confidence in his health, and his price is down at $6,000, heading into a matchup against the Los Angeles Rams, in Philly. The biggest problem that the Eagles faced last week was their pass blocking, it was immeasurably bad – giving up 8 sacks. I believe that this week they are going to try and combat this through the use of screen passes and lots of checkdowns and quick passes, which will benefit the three-down back massively. Sanders’ price and very clear game script for the team to pass a lot and with not much time in the pocket shows me a clear sign to how he could have a huge week as the Eagles try to bounce back in week 2.
Awesome value, perfect matchup.
After Josh Jacobs gave us confirmation, loud and clear, that the Carolina Panthers still can’t defend against running backs, I am ready to target them this season. In Week 2 they are heading to Tampa, where we actually found confirmation that Ronald Jones is in fact the lead running back for the Buccaneers despite the addition of Leonard Fournette. Jones only put up 10.2 fantasy points in week one, which is a disappointing effort. The only number I care about however is the carry total – he rushed the ball 17 times (as well as 3 targets) and that is awesome to see. A game against the Saints in the Superdome is not an ideal matchup, but now he is facing the Panthers at home and I think he will bounce back with a good game. His price hasn’t changed, still at $5,200 – even despite the seemingly clear RB1 status on the team – and I think he is a great value this week.
BONUS PICK: Benny Snell Jr.
If James Conner is out, play him.
I don’t need to explain this to you. If James Conner doesn’t start this week, spend a mere $4,500 and start Benny Snell in every single one of your cash / head to head games.
Great value, get it while it lasts.
The wide receiver equivalent of my Ronald Jones pick, I like Diontae Johnson this week. There is always value to be found in Week 2 when players have high volume but weren’t able to make a splash with their fantasy production, and similarly to Jones, I am getting a big discount on Johnson because his involvement was hidden in the shadows of other storylines and JuJu’s two-touchdown game. Johnson received 10 targets, and hauled in 6 of them for 57 yards, but due to the set back of a fumble he only actually ended up with 10.7 points. In the PPR format of Draft Kings, targets are a premium currency, and you can add some underrated volume here in Johnson at $4,500. That price allows you to facilitate bigger plays elsewhere and you’re still adding someone who could catch 6 or 7 balls. The Broncos defense is much tougher than the Giants but their best work in Week 1 was done against the run, and they looked weak against play action, which I think could be their Achilles’ heel with JuJu and Diontae Johnson putting pressure on their secondary.
Good matchup, nice value, every week upside.
One of the most puzzling fantasy football players in the league, people can never predict when Amari Cooper is going to have one of his big games. Sometimes, though, you can give yourself a pretty good shot at it. This week he is playing against the Atlanta ‘every week is a shootout’ Falcons, and I am very interested in him in that matchup. His price tag of $6,300 is very reasonable and when you consider the fact that Michael Gallup is only a $700 saving, I think it’s worth the extra investment to pick up a receiver who has WR1 overall upside every single week. The Cowboys went 0-1 and have a point to prove after a frankly awkward performance on Sunday Night Football last week, and I think they will put the ball in the air a lot against this weak Falcons defense and try to go .500. If you have a little bit less money, I also think that CeeDee Lamb is a reasonable value play, but I’d prefer Cooper or Gallup because of their guaranteed involvement and proven upside.
If he’s healthy, he shouldn’t be this cheap.
After a prolonged period of the near-impossible to predict offseason where Mike Williams was seemingly not going to be available for the start of the year, he decided to slide into the starting lineup and showed me some very promising involvement. As is the pattern with many of my picks this week, Williams saw good volume in this Chargers offense but didn’t convert it into a big game for fantasy. He saw 9 targets and hauled in 4 of them for 69 yards, which was nice, but didn’t amount to a particularly outstanding week, with a pretty standard 10.9 fantasy points. What did Draft Kings decide to do with his price after a solid week one showing, though? They reduced his price by $500, to a now incredible value at $4,200. The Chargers are going to be facing the dominant Kansas City Chiefs offense this week, and while people may think that’s a bad thing it isn’t – more passing attempts means more points for Mike Williams. He will stretch the field, win contested catches, and be a popular end zone target. I think there’s great value to be had here in Week 2 before his price gets a boost after he finds paydirt a couple of times.
Having a player who is part of the New York Jets passing game is not necessarily an ideal situation for fantasy football owners in 2020. There’s a catch here, though. Instead, this week you can have the only player in their passing game who is actually left. Jamison Crowder and Le’Veon Bell are both going to be absent this week (Bell for at least another two, as well), and so Chris Herndon, the Jets’ Tight End, is officially the last man standing. Sam Darnold gets next to no time in the pocket, and the blocking is awful, which means the short and quick passing game is basically the only choice he has. Jamison Crowder usually excels here – and had a massive game in Week 1 – but now that he’s banged up, Herndon will be the sole short route specialist for Darnold to feed the ball to. At a ridiculous price of just $3,400 you can pretty much lock in a minimum of five receptions every single week that Herndon is healthy and take the PPR points at a discount. Awesome floor for no money, with touchdown upside, it’s everything you want at tight end.
He’s not your special secret, but the value is too good.
I usually try and consider the likelihood of a player I am recommending to become a chalk play, but sometimes there are players that just scream out to be in your lineup. This week Logan Thomas is undoubtedly one of the best value plays on the slate. After starting the year off with 8 targets, the athletic ex-Quarterback is more involved than anybody expected in the fantasy community. At a price of just $2,800 last week, he provided 13.7 fantasy points against the Eagles. Now, the Washington TE is traveling to the Mecca of the tight end position, Arizona. Last year they were awful against the position with an almost impossible consistency, and last week George Kittle was on course for a huge week before he got hurt. Now it’s time for Logan Thomas to go back to back and at a slightly increased price of $3,600 he is still an awesome value in this plus matchup.
Los Angeles Rams
There are two many great players this week to waste money on a defense that is above $3,000, so I looked lower and I like the Los Angeles Rams this week. If you listened to last week’s podcast you will have heard me shout out the Washington defense and they were awesome, this time out we are targeting the Eagles once again with this pick. The pass rush for the Rams is solid (albeit mostly one man who will be double or triple teamed) and the Philadelphia Eagles cannot block. That team has too many injuries and Carson Wentz is going to take too many sacks. At $2,800 you can have a team with some legitimate superstars on it and hope that they make some plays.
Gardner Minshew @ Tennessee – QB – $5,800
Derrick Henry vs Jacksonville – RB – $7,900 [By far my favourite RB this week but James took him]
Jonathan Taylor vs Minnesota – RB – $5,700 [My second favourite RB this week but James took him]
DJ Moore @ Tampa Bay – WR – $6,300
Alan Lazard vs Detroit – WR – $5,300
Hayden Hurst @ Dallas – TE – $4,600