Fantasy Football Tips – NFL Week 13 by Tyler Arthur
My Tips This Week
For as long as he plays, play him
If I was being lazy, I could copy and paste from last week. It doesn’t matter who Jackson is against, it doesn’t matter who he’s playing, Lamar Jackson is a great fantasy option every weekend that he gets the start, and DK still hasn’t adjusted his price to where I’ll stop starting him every week. At $5,900 is a very fair price for a QB who has averaged 21 fantasy points across his two back-to-back starts. I think he’ll get as many points again in Atlanta, with upside if he can keep the interceptions down and maybe throw a TD or two.
Is it Week 12 or 13?
Okay, I noticed it too. My two QB’s this week are the same as they were last week – but that’s for a reason. Both of these Quarterback picks are week-in week-out options. The rushing floor on these guys makes them matchup-proof, but this week it just so happens that one of them has the perfect matchup. Newton is travelling to Tampa Bay this weekend, the second worst defense in the entire league against the QB position, so he has the added upside of being able to put up over 23 points for the third game in a row if he does a bit through the passing game.
You Have to Take Advantage of These Things
If you haven’t heard the news yet, unfortunately second-year workhorse running back Kareem Hunt has become involved with a domestic abuse case. If Hunt doesn’t play, you can immediately plug Spencer Ware into your team at only $4,000. Obviously, you need to keep an eye on the news, but the sophomore starter was immediately sent home from the facility and it’s almost certain that Ware will be starting. Now it is very clear that Ware isn’t as good as Hunt in terms of raw talent, but he is undoubtedly due to produce extreme value on his $4,000 price. – REDRAFT FANTASY TIP – Pick up Ware from the Free Agency Pool, you need him on your team going into the playoffs.
Wow. Just Wow
Fifty-three… Fifty-three fantasy points. Last week, McCaffrey had the most ridiculous fantasy performance I can remember seeing. 17 rushes for 125 yards and a TD – and 11 receptions for 112 and a TD. 53 fantasy points (in PPR) is insane; and now he’s going to face the Buccaneers terrible D, it could get messy. Now, I have to say, I doubt he’ll be getting more than 40 fantasy points in back-to-back games, but this is such a good matchup that you can’t ignore him. $8,800 is a lot, but he could easily return on that investment if he does even half of what he did last weekend.
Start Your Panthers
I have already told you to start a Panthers RB and his QB, so now it’s time to pick up a WR. The Buccaneers defense is just as bad against the WR as they are against the other positions, and promising rookie D.J Moore has been on fire recently. In week 11, he got 32 points, and last week he still managed to get 18, even though McCaffrey was stealing all of the points. If you translate Moore’s production to a game in Tampa Bay there’s a damn good chance he has another great week, and the upside is huge, as he proved two weeks ago. For only $5,600 I can’t overlook the ceiling.
Emmanuel Sanders is another player who feels like a startable option every single week, which is great in year-long formats, but when we’re talking DFS it’s more about his value and matchups. This week those two things are perfect, $6,300 is a very reasonable price for a WR1 (if you go RB heavy like I do) or a top-end WR2 if you lean WR more, and now the Broncos are traveling to Cincinnati. The Bengals aren’t in a good place at the moment, so it could get ugly in this one (I also really like Phillip Lindsay at his value).
Great Situation, Great Value, Nice Floor
This is an obvious one to me. I liked Bruce Ellington when he was the WR3 in Houston, so now that he’s a WR2 in Detroit I’m starting to get really interested. On top of the notable absence of usual starting receiver Marvin Jones, Kerryon Johnson’s dual-threat ability at the running back position also leaves more volume out there for Ellington. The running game in Detroit isn’t exactly terrifying at the best of times, but now – without Johnson – you’d all-but invite them to run at you, oh and guess who they’re up against… The Rams. If I was the Lions I’d just try and throw it as much as I can – preferably at Ellington.
Last week I told you to start Cameron Brate in DK because I thought Winston would throw him a Touchdown, which he did. This week I’m going to go for the same prediction. The Bucs are hosting the Panthers this week, as I’m sure you’re bored of hearing by now, but it’s not just the Tampa Defense which I’m targeting, Carolina is the absolute worst defense against Tight Ends in the league, so it’s time to get another TD or two for Cameron Brate. At $3,700 I think he is the best value at the position this week by a comfortable margin.
Have You Guessed This One Yet?
I don’t know if I’ve mentioned this yet, but the Buccaneers Defense sucks, and it just so happens that I’m targeting teams that suck. I will warn you, don’t start four Panthers players in the same DK team, that won’t go well, but if you can’t afford McCaffrey or you don’t like D.J Moore, Greg Olsen is a decent option. Be warned, Olsen is one of the more Touchdown dependent TE’s in fantasy, but if he does get one (which is more often than most TE’s do), he will always be good for a TE1 game, and in some games he can suddenly burst into life, he’s already had two big games, but this week in Tampa he has the chance to have another one.
Los Angeles Rams
If you’re one of the people who spends too much on a defense then you can definitely opt for one of the top three this week, but I am looking at the Rams defense this time out. For a reasonable $2,600 you can get the most terrifying Defensive Line in the league, in a matchup against the most stubborn QB in the league, Matty Sackford. There could easily be 5 or more sacks in this game, and if the Lions make a mistake or two on top of those sacks it could be a big week for their D/ST.
Andrew Luck @ Jacksonville – QB – $5,800
Phillip Lindsay @ Cincinnati – RB – $5,400
Gus Edwards @ Atlanta – RB – $4,800
Robert Woods @ Detroit – WR – $6,900
Corey Davis vs New York Jets – WR – $5,500
Eric Ebron @ Jacksonville – TE – $4,200