James’ DFS Tips – NFL Week 8 by James Platt
JAMES’ JUGGERNAUT DRAFT KINGS LINEUP Week 8
My Tips This Week
Mayfield managed to come back from 0/5 with a pick to scoring five touchdowns with a last minute win against the division rival Bengals. Thus, Mayfield got a price boost. He might have lost OBJ to a torn ACL but that offence still has a bunch of talent that was on full display this past Sunday. I say the Browns just need to give this offences keys fully over to Baker and let him cook like Russ against the woeful Raiders secondary who are giving up the 6th most points to wide receivers in 2020. I like a big juicy Cleveland win to push them closer to the playoffs!
The second-cheapest starting QB on the week other than Drew Lock and he is facing one of the best matchups in the entire league! The 49ers are getting much healthier on defence, but the offence still has its issues with Mostert out a few more weeks and now Jeff Wilson on the sidelines. They have McKinnon and Shanahan can make any RB a star but Garoppolo needs to put this team on his back and my cheap as chips WR pick from week 7, Brandon Aiyuk, had a breakout against a struggling Patriots squad. Jimmy looks healthier and slung it vs the Rams two weeks ago, so look past his pedestrian week 8 and suit him up against the Seahawks awful defence, lean into the NFC West rivalry.
The theme for my two running backs this week is REVENGE GAMES. Melvin Gordon tried to hold out for a contract in 2019 when the Chargers just decided to play Austin Ekeler who turned into a star and forced Gordon out. Philip Lindsay is in doubt to play in this matchup due to a concussion so there should be plenty of opportunity vs his former team. Everyone seems to think the Chargers defence is good because they have a lot of name-brand players but they are extremely bad against opposing backs. Melvin Gordon will be extra motivated this week to speed through the LA defence like he did speeding through lanes while securing himself a DUI.
After last week I’m shocked that Bell’s price hasn’t gone up, especially for this game against the Jets. Yes, Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been balling out the past two weeks but there is no way that the Chiefs don’t give Bell a good percentage of the touches this week against his former team. He only got six carries in his first game with KC but he took it for 6.5 yards per carry, lets hope they just go for him in garbage time (which there should be lots of if the Chiefs are going to hit this 20.5pt opening line against the Jets.) Long story short, Bell will want to show Adam Gase and the Jets that they are wrong and drop an awful album on the whole ordeal, so he will score.
A.J. Brown’s price didn’t stay cheap for long but it’s still cheap enough that I want every piece of the Titans star wide receiver. He was having a relatively quiet game against the Steelers and all of a sudden he takes a pass almost 80-yards for a TD and by the end of the game he has over 30 fantasy points. His ceiling is unlimited, he could have a 50-point game and I would not be shocked. Tannehill is a ridiculously stable and consistent QB that you can count on Brown to come through for you with at least decent value each and everyweek. Cincinnati are a shambles on defence and allow over 30 points a game to receivers, AJ Brown might push that number higher this week.
Two cheaper picks now after the AJ Brown pick and we go to another AJ and it’s the franchise tag man Green. He looked like a prime trade candidate until about week 6 when he started showing signs of life. Joe Burrow was a monster last week and Tee Higgins is starting to round into form but don’t sleep on Green at this price point, he’s scored over 30 points in his last two games combined. Green is still taking in 28% of the targets in a crowded receiver room and he isn’t the focus for top cover corners any longer. That shouldn’t even matter against the Titans who give up the fourth-most fantasy points to wide receivers.
We’re back for the third week running with my cheap as chips pick at wide receiver. If you’re new to my tips here’s the history: Adam Humphries got us 19.5 pts in week 6 for $4,000 and Brandon Aiyuk got us 21 pts last week for $4,100. Excellent picks and I’m 100% not confident in my ability to pull another cheapo out of the bag but we’ll give it a go. So I already said that I love Mayfield this week, and Rashard Higgins burst onto the scene with 20+ pts against the Bengals. There are many cheap players you could pick on the Browns to pick up the slack against a leaky Raiders D but I like Higgins as the No.2 option with good hands and route-running against a less than ideal secondary situation for Vegas.
I was surprised that Cook didn’t see more of a workload in week 7 with both Thomas and Sanders out but he didn’t do badly, 13 points for a tight end in 2020 is sexy! The top two receivers are looking like they might miss week 8 as well as it gets further into the week, so it’ll be Cook, Kamara and the guys that Brees is elevating. I like him against the Bears defence despite it being one of the tougher matchups. He will be TD dependent, but I do think one, or maybe even two could be on the cards here.
I cannot smash Jonnu Smith enough this week, both figuratively and literally (not literally smash.) He has had two dud weeks (2 catches, 22 yards), one due to injury and the other due to a deadly tough matchup, this has led to his price dropping all the way down to the salivating price of $4,100. With a 27% target share to the position, no AFC team has allowed its opposition to pepper their tight ends more frequently than Cincinnati. He is healthy again after logging over 70% of snaps vs the Steelers and we should, unfortunately, see JonnuSmith cost over $5,000 next week once he has an absurd week against the Bengals D.
I found it hard to pick a defence this week as the price makers seem to have everything priced too high for my liking. But I don’t mind the Packers here, for a defence who hasn’t done much all year. This is more about who the Vikings are than who the Packers are to be fair though. They’ve had three turnovers in three of their last four and the offensive line has given up an average of three sacks a game over that time too. I think they come out strong against their struggling division rival and really put any playoff hopes out of the question.