James’ DFS Tips – NFL Week 8 by James Platt
Tweet me @mrplattypus for any fantasy advice, DFS or otherwise, I am but a humble servant. This week was difficult, there are so many injuries and there’s teams on byes, deciding who coaches like best. Look, we’re halfway through the season already. Lets just appreciate the NFL and win some money, take a look down below for my top picks this week and as always check out the Daft Kings Podcast on Spotify and iTunes!
My Tips This Week
Even though I’m tipping you to take Ty Johnson, the Lions roster doesn’t exactly look like it’s going to be a very run heavy game. This is why Stafford is looking very tasty at $6,100 this week. I think the Giants are one of those defences that is terrible, but they just aren’t talked about as being one of the worst in the league, when they really are. Stafford is ranking 7th at the QB position for fantasy and the Giants are giving up over 27 points to QBs on the road. Look down below for a possible stack. I also wouldn’t mind a take on Marvin Jones after his huge week 7.
It pains me to pick Derek Carr just because I like to hate on the Raiders, but his price is so ridiculously low that I can’t ignore it. For just $5,000 you can pick up Carr who is about to square off with the secondary of the Texans. A secondary that just acquired Oaklands former first round disappointment, Gareon Conley. I don’t think Conley is capable of having a revenge game, honestly, he’s that bad. Even thought the Raiders are pretty bare at receiver, the tight ends are getting things done and Carr is finding a way to score a few points. Against a defence that likes to lay down and take a good pumping from average QBs, he’s in play for a big day.
Ty Johnson at $4,900 could be one of the biggest chalk plays of the week. You hate to see a talented player like Kerryon Johnson go down, but I think Johnson is ready to step up and win us some fantasy leagues with his cheap price. I’m hoping the coaches don’t defer from what they did last week and go towards a running back by committee. But if you look at last week, he out snapped all other backs 3:1 so I don’t think we have anything to worry about. He also received four targets out of the backfield which is always a bonus for running backs. It helps that this week they face the Giants who are giving up the fifth-most fantasy points to running backs.
Sony Michel may be having one of the weirdest seasons I’ve seen for a running back in recent memory. He’s technically the No. 1 back on the Patriots, but he is wildly inefficient. Take Monday night against the Jets for example, he averaged just over two yards per carry and had three touchdowns. He was much better when James Develin was still healthy but the offensive line as a whole need to do a much better job at run blocking. This week they face the Browns, who over their last two games have given up 385 yards on the ground. That’s plain embarrassing. Sony Michel has six red zone TDs this season so if the Patriots get to the red zone, it’s likely points for Michel. If he can take advantage of the Browns defence and rack up some yards too then this pick could be golden as his price has dropped dramatically to $5,200.
Please don’t take my advice on receivers until I prove I don’t have some sort of curse on me. DeAndre Hopkins should be a relatively safe play, right?? He’s $8,100, the most expensive receiver available and the No. 2 Will Fuller is out with injury. Surely, I can’t fail with the man who makes spectacular catches look average and has Darren Fells as the main guy competing for targets. Seriously though, he’s going to be getting a lot of targets and it’s against a Raiders team that now has Gareon Conley’s somehow worse backup as a starter in the secondary. I expect blood in the water.
A pleasant bright spot on the lowly Broncos, Courtland Sutton has been Flacco’s favourite target and now he will be his only conceivable target as far as I’m concerned. Sanders leaves Denver and leaves his 6+ targets a game on the table. Ripe for the taking. Sutton was already averaging a high number of targets each week and his price hasn’t changed since the trade was early in the week. Snap him up for $5,300 and watch him dominate Pierre Desir of the Colts.
I think Ryan Tannehill surprised a lot of people last week, probably Mariota as he thought he’d get the job back in no time. Corey Davis seems like the teachers pet in this scenario and should see the bulk of the volume from the former Dolphins QB. Against a Buccaneers defence that is towards the bottom of most passing defence metrics it’s a match made in heaven. When you add in the fact that Derrick Henry should be a non-factor against this god tier run defence duo of Vita Vea and Ndamukong Suh, I like this pick even more.
Austin Hooper has been the best tight end in the league tis season by a wide margin if you ask me and he’s still only $5,500. Enter, the Seattle Seahawks, a team that can only be usurped by the Arizona Cardinals for how poorly they defend tight ends on a regular basis. They come into this game allowing the fifth-most targets, third-most yards and eighth-most touchdowns. Hooper is running the most routes in the league and with Matt Ryan being banged up he’s not going to want to wait for the long routes to develop with Ridley and Jones. He’s going to want a quick dump off and Hooper will be the beneficiary, it won’t be surprising when he takes four or five of those short passes for a long gain.
He was amazing in the opener against the Cardinals and hasn’t done much since. His name is T.J. Hockenson and his price is just $3,500. Interestingly that’s the 10th highest price for a TE on Draft Kings which shows you how the position is this year. Since week 1, he’s had just 80 yards and a TD which is pitiful after what I thought was going to be one of the best rookie tight end seasons of all time. However, I still believe in Hockenson and against the Giants this week there’s no reason to think he can’t have a great game. I already explained how Stafford will benefit against this defence and the rookie should be getting a lot of targets with the Giants likely focusing on Jones and Golladay.
New England Patriots
I told you I was going to do this every week I could and I’m sticking by my word. My top defence is the New England Patriots, I don’t care that they are $4,300. There opponent this week is a significant step up in talent from what they have been playing but Baker Mayfield seems to have regressed somewhat from his spectacular rookie season. I think the secondary of the Patriots will have another feast when their defensive line is able to get in Mayfield’s face all game long. He’s feeling pressure when there is none and BB will remove OBJ from the game, send the zero blitz and Freddie Kitchens will continue to fail to adjust.
Daniel Jones has done surprisingly well after Gettleman was almost hung, drawn and quartered by fans when he took him with the 6th overall pick. However, he’s a very risky young quarterback and that leads to picks and interceptions. If you didn’t see that the Lions traded a defensive captain for little more than a 7th round pick and Darius Slay was pissed, then you should. I feel like Slay will want to make a statement and could run in a pick-6 on a floater for Golden Tate. Whatever happens, I think the Lions defence gets right in this game, the D-line finally gets home, and the back end takes care of business for $2,800.
QB Russell Wilson $7,200 [email protected]: Most expensive QB on the slate but you can see why when you look at the Atlanta defence.
RB Chase Edmonds $6,200 [email protected]: I don’t think last week was a one off and David Johnson still isn’t healthy, look for another big game.
RB Austin Ekeler $5,900 [email protected]: That vaunted Bears defence has been worn down to not caring anymore because the offense is that bad, Ekeler should find some room.
WR: Demaryius Thomas $3,300 [email protected]: Nine targets last week against the Patriots defence hopefully carries over to this week’s much easier matchup.
TE Gerald Everett $4,300 [email protected]: Often doesn’t play to his talent level but against the Bengals in London he should be able to find a bounty of targets.