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James’ DFS Tips – NFL Week 6 by James Platt
Tyler and I bounced back in a big way for week 5 and if you don’t know about the Daft Kings podcast, we produce, you should. Last week there was five players for the first time in NFL history who scored 40+ points in fantasy. We mentioned THREE of them on the show and in our articles. Stop sleeping on us, we are the GOAT fantasy tipsters. Now how about we get into week 6!
My Tips This Week
While offering a stout run defence, the Eagles give up a lot to opposing QBs and that plays right into Minnesota’s game plan. The criticism likely helped Kirk Cousins and made him play with a little more flair and risk. It paid off as he had an extremely efficient and productive day with Adam Thielen producing a performance, we’re used to seeing from him. Diggs didn’t have a game like he wanted but I think we will see him more involved this week after being in the doghouse for week 5.
Cousins offers you top-10 fantasy production for just $5,200. If the rumours about the Eagles wanting to trade for Jalen Ramsey are true, they’d better do it soon because they have only put up a 28-point coverage grade on deep balls. Otherwise known as Stefon Diggs specialty. I think we see another good day from Cousins through the air as they try to make everybody happy again. I also think Zimmer’s job might be on the line so he’ll be going all out.
We’re kicking off a stack here, I know I don’t do them often because they can be risky, but I love Minshew and want to create the ultimate three headed beast out of Jacksonville. He has been on a tear ever since he was put in as the starter and is probably giving the Jags a bit of buyer’s remorse regarding their purchase of Nick Foles in the offseason. He will be fuelled by the many fans wearing his headband a moustache combo, it was clear money grab by the team but it’s a pretty good package deal.
Even when the day doesn’t start off right, he seems to be able to get himself right and have a good game. He’s thrown for two TDs in four out of his five games and is an absolute monster on the deep ball with a deep passer rating of 119.4 (passes over 20 yards.) The Saints never play as well on the road as they do in their lovely, cushy dome so I expect that to also factor into this matchup. Even if Marshon Lattimore can take away Chark, I expect big days for the other guys in my tips list on this Jacksonville offense.
For the amount of shit that I give Carlos Hyde, he’s averaging 4.2 YPC (3.6 if you take away week 1.) However, I don’t want Carlos Hyde this week, I want his teammate, Duke Johnson, who came over from the Browns at the start of the season. He is being underutilised and for that reason, this electric playmaker is only $4,100. He’s yet to be given double digit carries in any single game as most of the work is given to Hyde in the running game but he’s got a 6.4 average YPC which is insane.
Bill O Brien must realise sooner or later that Johnson is deserving of more carries and more targets. The Chiefs are coming to town as the perfect club toilet floor for Johnson to piss his talent all over. They give up more than 35 points to opposing teams running backs and if Billy O allows the washed-up Hyde to tee off on the Chiefs, leaving Johnson to waste away on the bench, I will be incredibly salty.
Confusing comments from Bill Callahan this week. After being appointed as interim head coach following the firing of Jay Gruden, he has been saying he thinks the team just needs to lean more on their running game and run more often. The stats say a much different story and if Callahan thinks this will help him reel off a few wins, I highly doubt it. For starters, they do run a lot, they have the 4th highest running rate on first downs. That does not translate to success as they gain 3.3 YPC on average and a 35% success rate, the worst in the league.
Now I know that all sounds like I won’t be picking a Redskins running back. But I am, if Bill wants to give the ball to Adrian Peterson 50 times then that just means there’s more opportunity for him to do something. I’m very happy to do it this week as they face the Dolphins, who give up close to 40 points a game to opposing running backs. If you get 40 points for $4,500, you’ll be in with a chance of winning some cold, hard cash.
I don’t know why I want multiple parts of the race for the No. 1 pick, but I do, and I will vehemently defend myself and my tips. I’m going for a Dolphins receiver and it is not DeVante Parker. Preston Williams for $4,100 is my guy this week against a Redskin’s secondary which is allowing the 3rd most fantasy points to receivers. I honestly cannot wait to watch this game and see these two featherweight offenses battle it out, it will be one for the history books.
Now I will get behind my boy Preston Williams. Like I said before Washington can’t cover receivers and Williams, in Rosen’s two starts, has seen 19 targets go his way. He hasn’t even been bad, he caught 8 of those balls for 114 yards. If he can keep getting the consistent targets he has been and exploits this defence, it could be easy money. But don’t be shocked if it’s a disaster, that’s where the fun lies.
After coming back from injury against a good Packers defence, Michael Gallup had himself a day with 14 targets, 7 catches, over 100 yards and a TD. However, it wasn’t good enough to get the W in Green Bay and it’s looking like the Cowboys may only be able to crush bad teams which is bad news for the job certainty of head coach Jason Garrett. This week though, it should be fine as they are facing off against the winless Jets. Even with Sam Darnold back, this game should be easy for Dallas.
The Jets defence hasn’t been as awful as their games suggest from the outside. This is mainly thanks to the elite safety duo of Jamal Adams and Marcus Maye who can take away some of the big plays and stop opposing teams running it down their throat. If you look at New York’s corners on the other hand, you understand why they haven’t won a game yet. He has the highest yards per route run mark in the NFL, almost a half yard better than Michael Thomas the next closest receiver and he comes in cheaper at just $5,600.
This will be an interesting three-way stack by the time this article is over and a potential four-way if you want to consider my honourable mentions. It could backfire but I love Minshew too much to think about that right now. Obviously, DJ Chark is Minshew’s favourite guy, but New Orleans seems to finally understand they just need to let Lattimore shadow one guy for the entire game, and he’ll do amazing. So, if you take Chark out of the equation that leaves a lot of targets to go around, we’re looking at you Dede Westbrook. It also helps that the Saints give up the 3rd most yards to slot receivers, courtesy of cornerback P.J. Williams.
Westbrook looked promising coming into the season and now his price has settled back down to just $5,100. If Minshew is lacking his No. 1 guy (which he might not because Chark is looking unstoppable) then I believe Dede will feast and the Jags could get a much-needed win against a good Saints team.
Last week, Tyler Eifert made us look silly and wasted an opportunity for a huge game against the Cardinals. We’ll try again this week with a tight end and QB that are talented. This week we’re going for Austin Hooper, I’m not going to explain much but you can get him for $5,000, he’s ran more routes than any tight end this year and that Cardinals defence didn’t fix their coverage problems against tight ends in one week.
James O’Shaughnessy was sent to IR for the Jaguars last week after tearing his ACL. Enter, Geoff Swaim, who has 12 catches for 60 yards so far. Admittedly this could be another Mike Gesicki situation but Swaim is only $2,900. If you get the potential production, I think you could out of him then you can get a really good player in your flex and still get some good points from the TE slot.
This is assuming that the Jags rookie third rounder Josh Oliver won’t be playing as he is still recovering from a hamstring injury in the preseason. O’Shaughnessy and Swaim have combined for the 7th most targets and 8th most fantasy points for tight ends so far. I’m hoping this extremely cheap Jacksonville three-part stack pays off and I continue with my love boner for Minshew and co.
Los Angeles Chargers
If you didn’t see that hit on Mason Rudolph last week, go back and watch it, it was like the end of a UFC fight with the guy out cold and his arms going rigid. He hasn’t cleared concussion protocol yet and Devin Hodges might suit up for them. Whoever plays, I like this matchup for a talented Chargers defence to score some points and show the rest of the league they can be a top tier unit.
San Francisco 49ers
A potentially bad matchup for this week but I like them nonetheless. The only undefeated team left in the NFC have a very scary defence and a very creative offense, they are going to be hard to stop. The 49ers defence put on a show against the Browns on Monday night and this week they face the Rams. Now, LA has a better offense, but they are 2nd worst in the league at giving up pressures. Not good against that defensive line led by DROY favourite Nick Bosa. For only $2,700, they are going to deliver Goff a long, painful night on the turf.
QB Kyler Murray $6,500 [email protected]: Murray’s stock is trending upwards and he has the rushing upside in what should be a shootout.
RB Le’Veon Bell $6,400 [email protected]: The Gase offense is a train wreck, but defences can’t tee off on Darnold, as they did with Falk, Bell’s less risky this week.
RB Matt Breida $5,100 [email protected]: A big night against the Browns but this is a committee that will run with the hot hand so he might score nothing.
WR Larry Fitzgerald $6,100 [email protected]: Tipped last week and had a modest game but Quinn seems to be the opposite of a defensive guru and Johnson is limited.
WR DJ Chark Jr. $5,500 [email protected]: Mike Evans laid a goose egg against Lattimore in week 5, but for this price, Minshew could find his favourite guy.