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James’ DFS Tips – NFL Week 16 by James Platt
Good luck to all in their fantasy championships this week! This is the last proper week left of fantasy football before we have the madness of guessing who is actually going to play in week 17 so let’s fill up our balances for a fun DraftKings playoff run.
My Tips This Week
No Winston on the Sunday slate this week, so we’re forced to go with subpar options. I highly recommend him in other slates and in leagues though. Ryan Fitzpatrick quietly came in as the no. 6 QB last week in a game that didn’t really matter to anyone involved and he now costs just $6,000 against the hapless Bengals. One of the worst defensive units in the league for the last few years, Fitz is playing for pride and Devante Parker should have a nice game too.
I chose Haskins when he came back into the mix and he wasn’t a complete disappointment for his price. I don’t think it’s fair to watch the tape on Haskins this year and decide whether he’s the future in Washington because he doesn’t have much around him at all. But he’s shown promise and a blossoming connection with fellow rookie Terry McLaurin who could also have a big game. You can pick up Haskins for a mere $4,700 this week when he faces the Giants. Janoris Jenkins had some high-profile bad tackles but he was by far their best corner so that’s saying something about their secondary. There should be plenty of opportunities for Haskins to launch it deep.
I was right about my hunch with the Eagles last week about ignoring their only healthy receivers for most of the game and going heavy with two TEs and two RBs. Without Jordan Howard in the lineup, Sanders had a huge breakout game which allowed us to finally see his receiving potential. He’s now priced at $6400 and if Howard is out again, as expected and Sanders keeps producing then we’re onto a winner. The Eagles are still fighting to get into the playoffs, and this is a crucial game against the Cowboys so it will be a hard-fought battle.
Complimented by Belichick last week, Joe Mixon is quietly becoming one of the better backs in the league, hidden away in the void that is Cincinnati. He’s $6,600 so the people at Draft Kings have definitely noticed him and it’s no surprise when he totalled 186 yards against the Browns and then backed it up with 156 yards against the Patriots. He goes from two tough matchups to arguably the best matchup he could have when facing the Dolphins who are giving up a league worst 126 yards per game average.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. Amari Cooper isn’t a top tier receiver in this league, he is the epitome of a boom or bust player who will make you cheer or cry. For $6700 you’re getting a guy who has as many 100 yard games in the last three years as he does games with 10 or fewer yards. Jalen Ramsey had his number last week but in week 16 he has the lowly Eagles who have allowed the most fantasy points to outside receivers for the third year in a row. It’s all on deep passes too, the majority of the damage is downfield and that is what the Cowboys love doing with Cooper. He’s a top six receiver over 15 yards downfield so I expect a lot of big plays against the lowly Eagles secondary.
Jamison Crowder has a price tag of $5400 which is up $500 after he overcame a three game slump and had 27 points. Before that he was held under 10 points, so this isn’t a tip without risk. At first glance it’s not a great matchup against a Steelers defence that has looked good as of late. However, Pittsburgh are sketchy in the slot and give up over 30% of their receiving fantasy points to those players in the slot. This is only second to the Ravens vaunted defence who Crowder went off on last week.
We’re going to take it back a few weeks to a guy who got me a grand total of 1.3 points. I’m telling you this is his week. Big Tim Patrick at $3600 is going to haul in a TD and a bunch of yards. I see it happening because Breshad Perriman had his way with this Lions defence last week and Winston had over 400 yards without Evans and Godwin for most of the game. Lock has shown some promise and I like the matchup so let’s see if I can have another bargain boom after my tips last week.
I’m in a love hate relationship with Gesicki that some might call toxic but he’s only $3600 against the Bengals who are one of the better matchups for a tight end. It’s not like he hasn’t had opportunities lately either, he’s had over six targets in six of his last seven games and seventh in fantasy points per game at 10.3. Against Cincinnati I want a touchdown for Gesicki.
Fant has produced for me twice this season so we’ll see if we can make it a third. He’s currently $3700 but he is against the Detroit defence I’m so confident that Tim Patrick is going to score on. Over 450 passing yards and four touchdowns to Jameis Winston without Mike Evans on the field is laughable and Fant has a good games under his belt, I like his chances to do it once more.
Will Grier is now starting for the Panthers and the Colts defence is going to eat him alive. I picked against the Panthers last week and Seattle demolished them. I did so because Kyle Allen had lost six straight games, averaging three turnovers and four sacks per game. Despite them being out of the playoff race and Allen’s struggles they didn’t think to give Grier a single snap which might tell you all you need to know about the third stringer being ready for action. I expect a big Colts win and their defence is just $3300.
I love the Broncos here at $3,500 and it’s because they are on a hot streak. Against Houston and Kansas City, two extremely difficult matchups, they came away with six sacks, four turnovers and 20 points. Now they get David Blough and the injured Lions at home who have given up 13.5 fantasy points per game over the last month. The David Blough hype has died down after been held under four yards per attempt in two straight games, while taking three sacks and two turnovers per start.
QB Ryan Tannehill [email protected] $6,600: A tough running matchup might impede Henry so look for Tannehill to dominate once again through the air.
RB Christian McCaffrey [email protected] $10,100: If you gave up on McCaffrey after two down weeks I do not have any pity for you, stick with him always.
RB Marlon Mack [email protected] $6,200: A perfect matchup against a demoralised team and his own offense needs him to take the lead.
WR Danny Amendola [email protected] $4,900: Developed chemistry with Blough and is a short yardage god who can get a lot of catches in what will be a long day.
WR Terry McLaurin [email protected] $6,200: Haskins will go deep and he will find McLaurin against the piss poor Giants secondary.