James’ DFS Tips – NFL Week 15 by James Platt
A good week from both of us tipsters at Gridiron Hub last Sunday and we’ll look to continue it as we come into the final three weeks of fantasy. If you’re in your playoffs consider this as start/sit advice and if you’re not let’s win some Draft Kings dollars!!
My Tips This Week
Possibly my favourite QB in the league right now is Mr Jameis Winston. Threw 3 interceptions and still came away with 40 points, leaving men and the Colts in tears. He’s $6,900 for a reason and it’s because he’s a dangerous man in the month of December. Yes, he might throw 5 picks, but he could quite possibly throw 7 touchdowns and run in another. He’s unpredictable and I love watching him play. He is now without Evans, but does it matter? No, he has Justin Watson and big Breshad Perriman to make it up. Detroit’s secondary is iconically bad and gives up yards like no other, any feeling a 600-yard game?
Gardner Minshew is rising like a phoenix from the ashes, mark my words. In the first half of the season he was fantastic and quite possibly OROY. For some reason the Jags overthought it and brought Nick Foles back into the mix who did, well, nothing. Minshew comes back in and at least looks like he can move the ball so Draft Kings have him just above Foles at $5500. It’s a good matchup for him to get his bearings back against the Raiders who have given up 100 points over the past 3 weeks. With or without DJ Chark I think Minshew and his moustache destroy Oakland in their last game ever in the coliseum.
I’m not going to go into how bad the Jacksonville run defence is again because it’s too embarrassing at this point. But, in the last 5 weeks, 9 running backs have enjoyed double digit fantasy days. That’s every teams back up and starter having big days. You’ll need to keep an eye on this but if Josh Jacobs is playing he is a must start for $7,000. If he’s not playing then you HAVE to put DeAndre Washington in your line-up for only $4,700, there will not be a better value play on the slate in my opinion.
This is all about opportunity with Miles Sanders at $5,900. He has to face the Redskins defence which can be good, can be good, depends how they feel, and he is on an offense that has had a lot of their weapons die unexpectedly. It’s possible they only have 2 active receivers which means they will be relying on their tight ends and running backs to shoulder a few more of those targets. We haven’t seen enough of Miles Sanders in the passing game to know what to expect but in college he was absolutely electric. I think we start to see the future of what he could like this week when he sees a lot of targets lining out wide or from out of the backfield as the Eagles try to be creative and make the playoffs.
AJ Brown costs $6000 and for good reason after the unexpected bomb of 35 points he dropped on us all in week 14. I wouldn’t necessarily expect that level of production again but there’s good reason to think it could happen. Derrick Henry is a monster and Bill O’ Brien has said he will be selling out to stop him which likely means a lot of single coverage opportunities for Brown who can blow by the Texans mediocre corners. The Titans are dealing right now on offense and are second only to the Ravens in points scored since Tannehill took over from the ultra-conservative Mariota. I’d expect at least 20 points from this emerging rookie wideout.
Same as with Miles Sanders, this tip is all about opportunity. There is real possibility that Greg Ward for the minimum $3,000 is one of only two wide receivers active for the Eagles on Sunday and he’ll be opposite JJ Arcega Whiteside who caught 2 balls for 29 yards last week. The Redskins don’t have a great defence, but they have a few studs and you’d think they’d gamble and focus all their energy stopping the dynamic tight ends. Ward had 9 targets last week and I think if you follow the volume on this one you won’t be disappointed.
I’m taking a punt in the dark on N’Keal Harry for $3,500. If it wasn’t for the referees being blind he would have scored an amazing touchdown last week against the Chiefs and there’s reports that has instilled major confidence in him and in the coaches. We should see him involved in the offense a lot more because I think the Patriots need to try anything to kick start this stagnant attack. The Bengals are the perfect target for Brady to air his frustrations and Harry could be the beneficiary of the Bengals awful secondary.
Tyler Higbee has been an absolute fantasy monster the past two weeks with Gerald Everett nursing a hyperextended knee. His price is still only $3,900 after leading all tight ends in targets, yards and fantasy points by a fair margin. There’s a strong chance that Everett doesn’t suit up again in week 15 and even if he does the Rams would be smart to keep using Higbee who has been so effective instead of putting him back on the bench for the infuriatingly underwhelming Everett. The Cowboys also rank is the 5th worst defence against tight ends which just makes me like this matchup even more with the Rams offense looking deadly again.
Jonnu Smith came out of nowhere and has surprised a lot of people this year. Now he’s only scored 2 touchdowns, but I think he has another opportunity this week for a big play and a score for his $3500 price tag. Like I mentioned with AJ Brown, the Titans offense isn’t too far behind the Ravens since Tannehill took over and he is BALLING OUT. With Tannehill throwing bombs against a Texans defence that seems to prefer dressing up than actually making plays on the ball it could be a good game for all the passing options for Tennessee.
Let’s hit this Seahawks defence one last time this season for $3,700. You could save up another $300 and get the Patriots who could quite possibly have a monster game, but I really like the opportunity for Seattle here. There defence ranks 10th in fantasy points per game and Carolina gives up the 9th most fantasy points to defences. If you look to recent weeks, specifically from week 11, Kyle Allen averages 3 turnovers and 5 sacks a game which would give you a tasty 11 points on its own.
The Washington defensive unit is the cheapest I feel comfortable this week at $2,600 versus Philly. The Eagles are battered on offense and were held down for the majority of the Giants game. The Redskins defence isn’t as bad as their record indicates and they’ve finished at the top of the rankings a few times this season. If they can control Zach Ertz, they might even have a shot at winning the game (Not too crazy an idea if the Dolphins can do it.)
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick [email protected] $6,200: The beard wants redemption for a poor showing last week and the Giants are the perfect pin board.
RB Christian McCaffrey [email protected] $10,000: After a disappointing fortnight of “only” 17 and 24 points he’s now a flat 10k against a bottom-12 defence.
RB Raheem Mostert [email protected] $5,200: It’s now quite clear the 49ers will lean on the insanely efficient Mostert and gash this Falcons run defence at a bargain for us.
WR Kenny Golladay [email protected] $7,200: No Marvin Jones and a secondary ripe for picking on means a huge day is in store for Golladay, whether Blough wants it or not.
WR Adam Thielen [email protected] $6,300: The star receiver is back so why not take a shot on him for this price, a contrarian play that could bring huge results.