James’ DFS Tips – NFL Week 12 by James Platt
Well last week was embarrassing and I don’t have much to say really, sorry? Not sure this is the best week to get back on track either with most of the best options, injured, on a bye or not playing on the main Sunday slate. However, I’ve come up with a few good options I think might get us a win this week.
My Tips This Week
Some were already calling for Nick Foles head when the Jacksonville offense slumped on a few drives, but he didn’t look bad at all in his first game back from injury. He attempted 45 passing attempts which is great volume and he seems to have an even better connection with DJ Chark than Minshew did, targeting the breakout receiver 15 times. Malcolm Butler has been sent to IR making that Titans secondary even easier to throw against and you can pick up Foles for just $5,400.
You never know what you’re going to get with Jameis Winston. Wouldn’t surprise me if he threw four picks, four touchdowns, or both. He’s so unpredictable but I just don’t think that this Falcons defence can keep up with what it’s been doing recently. How can one of the worst in the league suddenly switch into one of the best? The Bucs have the offensive firepower to send them back to the bucket three-win team that they are and teach them a lesson. Winston is $6,200 and is bound to have a big week, whether he throws picks or not.
There’s not much about this Patriots offense that is clicking right now, and we all thought they were going to run riot on the Eagles secondary last week, but it didn’t happen. Now, Edelman, Dorsett and Sanu are banged up, leaving James White as the only reliable pass catcher who is healthy and ready to shred the Dallas defence. At only $5,200 you’re getting a guy who’s going to be receiving a lot of targets underneath because the injured receivers on the outside are going to struggle to get open. But what about those talented Cowboys linebackers you ask? Smith and Vander-Esch have an embarrassingly low coverage grade this season which isn’t good against an extremely elusive pass catching machine at running back.
Saved himself last week with a huge catch and run to end his injury comeback with just over 13 points. He’s now $4,700 and he’s playing against the 24th ranked run defence in the NFL, not to mention the Lions give up the most points to fantasy running backs. You could worry about his touches as he only had seven attempts last week, but I think Guice is too talented and they will give him the rock a lot more this week as they work him back into the lineup.
D. J. Chark
We’re going for the big boy Jacksonville stack with Foles and Chark. I already mentioned how he was targeted 15 times in Foles’ return to action catching eight of them for two TDs. This is an even better matchup and you’re getting him for the amazing price of $6,400. To put that into perspective, he’s the WR5 in fantasy this year and he’s priced at the No. 13 receiver. Let’s hope the Titans decide to try and cover him with Sims who seems to be their most incompetent corner that, for some unknown reason, is now starting.
Injuries on the Steelers are going to push this offense to its breaking point. JuJu Smith Schuster, James Conner and Diontae Johnson are all questionable to play, AT BEST. Who does that leave to start for fantasy? Well, you have Jaylen Samuels, but his price has been boosted a hell of a lot. So, let’s look toward the $5,000 price tag of James Washington. More of a big play kind of receiver that has been having a decent season as the No. 3 option. He’ll be able to have a big day against one of the worst coverage units in the league with Cincinnati.
Here’s my gut pick of the week, and I’ll be honest it’s very hit and miss so take caution, but I think this is a good one. We’re going for Tim Patrick of the Denver Broncos. He’s worked his way into second receiver spot, opposite Courtland Sutton and last week he had eight targets, four catches, 77 yards and a TD against the Vikings. He arguably has a much tougher matchup this week against the Bills third ranked passing defence. However, I have a vision. The safeties will be focused on the ultra-athletic Noah Fant and Tredavious White will be locking down Courtland Sutton. Leaving the 6 foot 4 inch Tim Patrick to haul in all of Brandon Allen’s passes. The best part, HE IS THE MINIMUM $3,000!!!!
Tyler Eifert is quietly having a comeback season, by his standards anyway, a nice story for a guy who has battled so many injuries in recent years. Ever since Finley took over at QB, Eifert has seen his target share increase by
50%, that’s no joke. His yardage and receptions have just about doubled and when you consider that the Steelers defence is in the bottom 10 when covering tight ends, Eifert looks very tasty at just $3,100
Zach Ertz is the big name at tight end for the Eagles but I’m telling you now, choose Dallas Goedert this week. Not just because Goedert is $2,300 cheaper than Ertz but because the receivers in Philadelphia are ridiculously frustrating. They are dropping passes at a stupid rate and it’s frustrating for Wentz so he’s going to start going for his tight ends more. Add in the receiving injuries that will lead to more two tight end sets and you have the recipe for a bunch of Dallas Goedert targets while Ertz takes most of the focus of the Seattle defence. A defence that is almost as bad against tight ends as the notoriously awful, Arizona Cardinals.
The Steelers defence have been playing lights out to make up for their lacklustre offense and their going to have to ball out once again with all these injuries. Luckily, they are only facing the winless Cincinnati Bengals and the turnover prone Ryan Finley. Yes, they may be the most expensive defence on the slate at $4,000 but they could push for over 20 fantasy in a shutout victory.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints have the unenviable task of stopping Christian McCaffrey, but it’s been proven by the Falcons that he can still have a monster day and the defence still look amazing. Kyle Allen has lost ten balls over the last month of the season and this ball hawking secondary should be licking their chops for Sunday. I suspect the Saints win by double digits and the Panthers season has a fork put in it.
QB Derek Carr $6,100 [email protected]: Against one of the worst secondaries in football, momentum could take this offense far.
RB Christian McCaffrey $10,500 [email protected]: Don’t be afraid of the matchup, he scored 30 points in a blowout loss for Christ sake.
RB Jaylen Samuels $7,200 [email protected]: Price is a little scary but he’s potentially the most talented Steelers offensive player on Sunday with all their injuries.
WR DK Metcalf $6,300 [email protected]: Lockett is a little banged up and this Philly secondary stepped up against the Pats, but the rookie is bound to burn Maddox.
WR Devante Parker $5,200 [email protected]: Quietly balling out for Fitzpatrick and not a bad matchup here against a team that now is without two top pass rushers.