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Tyler’s DFS Tips – NFL Week 2 by Tyler Arthur
My Tips This Week
It’s High Noon.
In fantasy football, we love shootouts. This game between the Oakland Raiders and the Kansas City Chiefs is going to be one of those, and there is some incredible value available for the home team on Draft Kings this week – starting with Derek Carr, at just $5,100. With the visiting offense down on the injured speedster Tyreek Hill, it is at least possible that the Raiders could really push this game to the end, and if they can have as much success as they did against the generally solid Broncos defense, Carr will be able to put up a lot of fantasy points for a discounted price.
I’ll say it now, I do not expect Jackson to suddenly become an elite passing machine. I don’t expect sixteen weeks like his first, because he doesn’t get the pleasure of the Dolphins as his opponent, but we saw something different from Jackson and now he’s facing Arizona at home. The Cardinals offense showed some potential in the fourth quarter, but when they face the Ravens defense I think it will be even more difficult than they made it look in week one. I expect the passing to stay strong against the Arizona defense, and then if he gets back to his running ways, he has an even higher floor. At $6,700, he is expensive, but I think he will be a top five QB this week, so it could be worth it.
Huge volume, ridiculously low price.
Last week Josh Jacobs put up 24.3 points, and yet he’s still only $4,700. Oh, and don’t forget what I just said – he’s going to be in a shootout. The volume will be there around the goal line, but now he should be in a game script that will get him passing work too, and that will elevate him even higher. The PPR settings of DK make the matchup against Kansas City favourable, and if the Raiders so score, there’s a very high chance that it’s number 28 who made it happen. I wouldn’t be surprised to see 5+ receptions and a TD or two alongside the rushing floor he has with the workhorse volume we can expect.
Week one is over, move on.
Okay let’s address this – if you played Sony Michel last week in fantasy, you weren’t very happy about it. This week I think it will be different, to put it lightly. I see the Pats winning this game and I think that there will be a combination of the pass and ground game, with both of them being successful to an extent that essentially allows Brady and Belichick to just do what they fancy. The reason I like Michel is because he should get the most valuable ground work, and can capitalise no matter what, when they get into the redzone. It’s not impossible for him to bag 3 Touchdowns in this game, and he only costs $6,200.
Is this the year he finds consistency? Who cares!
A DFS favourite, Amari Cooper is one of the most volatile players in the NFL. When he has a good day, everyone that has him in their lineup is very happy. In week one he had good volume, including some very valuable targets, and put up 25.6 points against the (admittedly poor) Giants defense. This week he goes to face Washington on the road, after last week DeSean Jackson absolutely torched this exact same defense deep. At $7,200, he isn’t cheap, but the matchup is inviting me to see the upside of Cooper repeating DJax’s week one performance, and that would make him pay for himself.
Tyreek is gone, the shootout is on.
I don’t know if this season will teach me to like Sammy Watkins, or if I’ll just utilise his value while Tyreek Hill is out for a while. What I do know, the Raiders defense is vulnerable right now and the Chiefs offense is dominant. Until the Kansas City speedster returns, Watkins will be a very exciting fantasy player. I see this as a very similar pick to Amari Cooper, and he’s also priced at $7,200 but I think that both could have a huge game this weekend.
If you have to decide between the two, I’d probably choose Watkins just because their offense is more pass heavy, and I like Mahomes more than Dak Prescott.
He costs how much!?
$4,400. Don’t ask how, but they have managed to underprice literally every single Raider. Williams might be the most egregious, as he is both the WR1 for this team and a deep threat. If Tyrell Williams can get going like he did in week one, he will return on this price, and his upside is much more than that. All it takes is one long TD sprinkled in amongst his regular volume and he could put up 20+ points for an incredibly cheap price. I can’t see any reason I shouldn’t be putting him in my lineup. I also like the stack of Williams with Carr because they’re both so cost-effective.
Last man standing.
This might be a week where I actually spend up at the tight end position. I might have to. Engram got a lot of volume in week one, and had an incredibly successful outing, putting up 31.6 fantasy points in a game where the Giants were awful. There is a high likelihood that Sterling Shepherd doesn’t play, and an even higher likelihood that the New York offense will be motivated to throw the ball, as they take on the Buffalo Bills. Ideally you want the visitors to put up a couple of points early and get Eli throwing the ball, because when he does that there is only two targets, Engram is the significantly cheaper option, and at $5,200 he is much more affordable than Kelce and Kittle at the top of the pricing.
The last Raider.
Okay, I’m done now. This will be the last time, I promise. For the rest of the season it will be almost exclusively Josh Jacobs in my line ups, but not until they fix Darren Waller’s price. $3,300! I think Waller could very easily be a top 5 TE this week in PPR, and he is priced ridiculously low. This is the only pick that I could tempt myself with to not take Evan Engram this week. As you can tell, I am going to be very rich when this Kansas City vs Oakland game is a complete shootout.
Trubisky hasn’t worked it out yet, and the Denver Broncos have lost just one of their last NINETEEN home openers. I have the Broncos winning, and I have the defense being the reason for that happening. They only cost $2,700 after their rough start in Oakland, but that value only makes me more excited to play them.
QB – Jared Goff vs New Orleans – $5,900
RB – Dalvin Cook @ Green Bay – $7,200
RB – Giovani Bernard vs San Francisco – $5,300 (start him if Mixon isn’t playing)
WR – Josh Gordon @ Miami – $5,800
WR – John Brown @ New York Giants – $5,200
TE – Delanie Walker vs Indianapolis – $3,500