Written by Simon Stockwell
This is how I think the draft will pan out, not necessarily what I think should happen!
Arizona Cardinals – Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
Kyler Murray comes out of an Air Raid offence in Oklahoma, and Kliff Kingsbury said that if he had the #1 pick he’d draft Kyler Murray. Well we’re here now, and I expect this to be the pick come Thursday night, though don’t be surprised if they’ve been bluffing and take someone else. Last year I got word that Baker was going to be the first pick about 6 hours before the draft, so if we’re going to know I think it’ll be around then.
San Fransisco 49ers – Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State
Despite having sat out most his final season to rehab a core injury, Bosa looks to be the best player in the draft, in competition with Quinnen Williams. Bosa will be a high floor, moderately high ceiling like his brother, and prove to be a great, but probably not transcendent pass rusher.
TRADE WITH NEW YORK JETS – Oakland Raiders – Drew Lock – QB – Missouri
I’m having a bit of fun with this, but we’ve seen this exact situation play out with Chicago moving up to take Trubisky. I think if the Jets can parlay a 2nd rounder or something out of the deal, they’ll take it anyway. Oakland will only move up for a QB, and teams are scared about missing out. This could bust this wide open here, but I think there’s a chance it’ll happen.
New York Jets – Quinnen Williams – DT – Alabama
They move down a spot and get the guy they want anyway. However don’t be surprised to see Josh Allen picked here, as the Jets already have a decent DT in place. However if you pass up possibly the best player in the draft I think you’re mad.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Josh Allen – Edge – Kentucky
Allen has elite size and speed, and will be able to rush the edge hard. The Bucs need a LB but if Allen is there I think they’ll take him.
New York Giants – Montez Sweat – Edge – Mississippi State
So I’ve heard rumours that the Giants really want Sweat. Lightening fast and can rush the passer. However that means they’re passing up on Haskins here, who I’ve also heard they’ve liked. But the Giants could very well try to tank for Tua, so we’ll see how this pick plays out. At the moment I’ve got this pick as being the turning point of the draft. If Sweat goes here, it’ll be a fairly standard draft. If Haskins goes, shit is about to hit the fan.
Jacksonville Jaguars – Jawaan Taylor – T – Florida
Jags need a tackle, Taylor looks to be the best tackle available. This pick makes sense.
TRADE WITH DETROIT – Miami Dolphins – Dwayne Haskins – QB – Ohio State
Miami need a QB. There’s a chance they play through the season with Fitzmagic, but drafting a QB to sit for a year wouldn’t be the worst idea. Haskins is a good QB, and sitting for a year would really help with his development, however if the Dolphins are in full bust mode then they won’t take him. But I reckon Flores wants to keep his job so I’m not sure. I’m taking Haskins here.
Buffalo Bills – Andre Dillard – T – Washington State
The Bills need to improve a lot of things, but getting a stable offensive line for Josh Allen wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world.
Denver Broncos – T.J. Hockenson – TE – Iowa
The do it all TE comes off the board early. Before the combine people were talking about whether NE would take him at 32, now it looks like he might crack the top 10
Cincinnati Bengals – Devin White – LB – LSU
White will be able to fill a need at LB, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see them go edge here either. Edge solves LB issues, LB issues do not necessarily solve edge issues. Either way, White slides to here and the Bengals pick him up.
Green Bay Packers – Jonah Williams – G – Alabama
Doesn’t matter what you’re doing, build your team inside out. Williams will help solidify the Packers offensive line and stop Rodgers scrambling for his life. Laterally quick as well so will be good in a zone running scheme, which is likely what Matt Le Fleur will bring in.
Detroit Lions – Rashan Gary – DE – Michigan
The Lions could do with some pass rush, and with Patrica he could be turned into a superstar. This paring makes sense, and you take one of the best players available with your pick, whilst picking up some capital in the process.
TRADE WITH ATLANTA – New York Giants – Daniel Jones – QB – Duke
New York gives up a 3rd to move up to get Daniel Jones. Smart, makes good decisions and works through his progressions quickly. Sitting would help him, and getting Eli off that team would help everyone. If this is the QB the Giants want, I think they try to jump Washington for him.
Washington Redskins – D.K. Metcalf – WR – Ole Miss
Freaky height, size and speed. Jay Gruden can use him in that West Coast offence running slants, go, fade and posts. Washington either wait and get their QB next year with no Alex Smith, or go after a prospect in later rounds. This does make sense, and it’s possible.
Carolina Panthers – Greedy Williams – CB – LSU
The Panthers secondary was terrible last year. Greedy Williams gives them an instant starter, and should help contribute. Some teams don’t have him as a first rounder, so Carolina might be one of those, but in this draft they choose between him and Deandre Baker.
Atlanta Falcons – Ed Oliver – DT – Houston
Atlanta move down the board but still grab a difference maker. I know they have Jarrett but he’s on the franchise tag, and unless they strike a long term deal he’ll be gone at the end of this year. He’s not worth the amount they’re paying him, but they have the cap to keep him, so a DT here makes sense to groom for next year and give versatility for a 4-3 defence.
Minnesota Vikings – Cody Ford – G – Oklahoma
Minnesota could do with a anchor on their offensive line, trying to make Kirk Cousins seem like a good investment. Elflein in the center and with Ford in at guard he might stay more upright.
Tennessee Titans – Devin Bush – LB – Michigan
Back to back first round linebackers? Don’t count it out. Having 2 linebackers who are good in a 3-4 scheme is vital, and they could take him here if he falls
Pittsburgh Steelers – AJ Brown – WR – Ole Miss
With AB gone the Steelers could look to go receiver in this first round. Juju can’t do it on his own, so a receiver to go opposite would really help, then they can use Washington as the third receiver.
TRADE WITH SEATTLE – New England Patriots – Noah Fant – TE – Iowa
With Gronk ‘gone’, they have a big need at TE. Fant fills the pass catching role, with 2nd year player Ryan Izzo playing the blocking TE role they need, and New England have a knack of developing players, so Fant could become a good inline blocker in no time. They have a bevy of picks (two 2nd rounders, three 3rd rounders) so moving up this much shouldn’t be an issue, plus around 6 rookies coming off IR, giving up picks shouldn’t be an issue, even if it is un-Belichickian.
Baltimore Ravens – Clelin Ferrell – DE – Clemson
Baltimore let a lot of people walk this offseason, so acquiring Ferrell at the bottom of the 1st would be a good pick up, can contribute early.
Houston Texans – Rock Ya-Sin – CB – Temple
Hard nosed corner, quick footed and can step in for Houston. Should be a good corner at the next level, which is a good pickup towards the end of the 1st.
Oakland Raiders – Irv Smith Jr – TE – Alabama
With New England taking the other Iowa TE, Oakland take Smith Jr. Not quite on the level of the two Iowa TEs but still very competent. Can be moulded into a good next-level TE.
Philadelphia Eagles – Josh Jacobs – RB – Alabama
Back to back for Bama, and the Eagles pick up the running back they’ve needed since Ajayi left. Forceful and violent runner, and can convert those short yardage situations.
Indianapolis Colts – Johnathon Abram – S – Mississippi State
Tough and competitive and plays like a linebacker but with more speed. Seems like he’ll be a good locker room presence, and can play at a high level and make an impact and push the Colts deeper into the playoffs.
Oakland Raiders – DeAndre Baker – CB – Georgia
Oakland end an impressive first round by picking up in another area of need at CB, though don’t be surprised to see them trade out of this pick if someone offers something good.
Los Angeles Chargers – Dexter Lawrence – DT – Clemson
Physically intimidating player, will be a good addition to the Chargers, though knowing the Chargers will likely tear an ACL in the first practice.
Kansas City Chiefs – Garrett Bradbury – C – N.C. State
Bradbury falls the to Chiefs here and they pick up someone to try and help on that offensive line. Would be a good addition to the Chiefs.
Green Bay Packers – Taylor Rapp – S – Washington
After picking 2 corners last year, a safety would help, particularly with the loss of Ha-Ha Clinton Dix during the season. Would help strengthen the Packers secondary. As with all picks around here, expect teams to trade out if a good offer comes in.
Los Angeles Rams – Christian Wilkins – DT – Clemson
Flexibility, power and a great character. Wilkins would be a steal here at 31, as he can get under people’s pads and be highly efficient in his movement. Can disrupt multiple gaps at the same time too, and can drop on zone-blitzes, with 15 bat downs in his collegiate career.
Seattle Seahawks – Brian Burns – Edge – Florida State
If this happens, I reckon they’ll trade out again if they’re only going down 5/10 spots, but picking Burns wouldn’t be a bad choice. Great bend around the corner and should consistently get to the passer. Also quick laterally to fill interior gaps.